Italy vs Portugal Prediction & Betting Tips

One of the most interesting duel in this round of UEFA Nations League is scheduled for Saturday evening. I’m talking about the Italy vs Portugal game. If you are looking for a betting prediction for this match, you are at the right place. Betting tips are at the bottom of the article, but let’s first discuss the strengths and weaknesses of these two teams.

UEFA Nations League Logo


These two teams play in the League A of the UEFA Nations League, which means that whoever finishes on the top of the group’s table, won’t get promoted – there just isn’t a league to get promoted into. And when it comes to relegation, Poland have already been relegated to the League B, so Italy and Portugal have nothing to be concerned about.

But, does this mean that these teams won’t have any motivation in the Saturday’s game? Of course not. Some other team will replace Poland and they will have to battle with relegation worries once again. It’s just how this competition works.

And if you take a look at the players selected for this duel, you will see that both managers are taking this match seriously. Italy’s manager Mancini, for example, has picked probably his strongest squad. And it seems that he plans to attack Portugal. I get this feeling because he has picked a total of 8 forwards for this game. Mancini probably wishes to get a payback for losing to Portugal in September.


Once again, Cristiano Ronaldo is not in the squad. But, it seems that Portugal don’t miss him too much. In fact, their results show they can do without him. This team has won both games in the Nations League and is without a single defeat since losing to Uruguay at the World Cup 2018.

Their strength comes from a strong team spirit and the fact that they have at least one great player for ever position on the pitch. On top of everything, the team is coached by one of the biggest strategists in the world today, Fernando Santos, the manager who led this team to the European trophy two years ago.

But, to be completely frank, not everyone is a big fan of Santos and some go so far to question his managerial abilities. What his opponents claim is that his strategy is too defensive, making the game boring. And although it is true that there are not many goals in Portugal’s games usually, but I think that it’s only because of the fact that they’re great at the back.

And when it comes to attacking, Portugal have become much more fruitful lately. For example, in the last two games they played, they scored a total of six goals. I suspect we could see something similar on Saturday as well.

Possible Lineups


Donnarumma – Rugani, Romagnoli, De Sciglio, Biraghi – Jorginho, Verratti, Gagliardini – Bernardeschi, Insigne, Immobile


Rui Patricio – Neto, Ruben Dias, Cedric Soares, Raphael Guerreiro – Ruben Neves, Renato Sanches, Bernardo Silva, Bruma – Andre Silva

Italy vs Portugal Prediction

This is going to be a fun game and the spectators at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milano are gonna have an entertaining evening. I’m sure that the crowd from the stands of one of the largest stadiums in the world will motivate the players to give their utmost. And that means goals. A lot of them. On both ends.

Italy vs Portugal Betting Tips

  • Over 2.5 @2.40 (Unibet)
  • BTS @2.05 (bwin)


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Tesla is the football betting analyst and tipster. I'm in this more than 17 years, so you can follow my FREE football betting tips and predictions and make a good decision before you place your bets.